What lies ahead after the Sharm el-Sheikh agreements
A ‘historic’ agreement that ‘establishes a ceasefire and an end to the war in Gaza after two years of suffering and pain’. These are the words of Egyptian President al-Sisi.
It is “a historic moment”, he added, because “it not only closes the chapter of war, it also opens the door to hope for the peoples of the region for a future of justice and stability”.
The contents of the agreement
Like many others, I hoped for this outcome.
The fact that the proposal comes from Trump is no reason not to see its possible positive implications.
Palestinian state in exchange for the exit of Hamas and the strengthening of the Palestinian authorities that have renounced the madness of Palestine ‘from the river to the sea’, i.e. the cancellation of the State of Israel.
With the positive corollary of Qatar’s return to centre stage: it is no coincidence that Netanyahu’s apology to al-Thani for the raid on Doha also arrived at the same time as Trump’s 20-point text.
We are within the framework of the so-called New York Declaration approved at the UN on 12 September with the support of moderate Arab countries and the European Union. A declaration that Israel did not vote for at the time, calling that vote ‘shameful’.
Netanyahu’s support for the Trump plan was not a foregone conclusion and represented a momentous change, not least because the US President’s document opens up the prospect of a Palestinian state.
Netanyahu therefore takes into account that he could lose the support of the extreme right and thus the government majority, unless the ‘centrist’ parties come to the rescue to save the agreement and bring the hostages home, also in view of the fact that in October 2026, at the end of the legislature, there will still be a vote.
Hamas failed to kill the Abrahamic Accords
Is this agreement the end of the war? Not immediately.
It may, however, be the beginning of the end of a conflict that has been going on for decades. Especially if it also reopens the path of the Abraham Agreements, which was abruptly (and knowingly!) interrupted with the 7 October massacre.
The extension of the Abraham Agreements to all moderate Arab countries would be a further guarantee of lasting peace throughout the area. Those countries would in fact form a sort of ‘cordon sanitaire’ for Israel and Palestine, and thus also for the prospect of two states.
The very fact that Israel has dealt (and will continue to deal) with the representatives of the Gazawi proves that the accusations of wanting to carry out genocide, which served to ennoble the demonstrations against the Jewish state, were entirely pretextual. With good peace to the Albanian priestess.
Is it a perfect arrangement?
It is not a perfect agreement. The Trump proposal (and Hamas did not ask for additions on this point) says nothing, for example, about the West Bank and the necessary (for the birth of a Palestinian state and the stabilisation of the area) gradual withdrawal of Israeli settlements from that territory.
True, but…
1) One could not ask the Israeli Prime Minister for everything immediately. Moreover,
2) If, as is likely, the Ben Gvir and Smotrich extremists leave the government, it will be much easier to achieve that result. And it will also be very good news for the world. By the way, Smotrich has already started to walk away from the agreement and Ben Gvir has said he will resign if it is approved.
In summary: the road is still long and narrow, but it was and is the only viable one. The hard part comes now.
Those who care about pacification and restoring a life worth living and hope for the future to the Gazawi can only cheer that the process started in Egypt does not stop.
The agreement itself envisages several stages and an accident on the way would bring everything down, perhaps irreparably. In between there could also be a change of majority in Israel with the entry of opposition leader Yair Lapid.
For the development to go as desired, including the birth of a Palestinian state, including the lasting pacification of the entire area, much more work remains to be done: the exit from the games of the Israeli right wing, the retreat of that country’s army, the exile of Hamas terrorists, the enlargement of the Abrahamic agreements.
If the behaviour of all actors along the way gives sufficient guarantees that an irreversible process has begun, we will also arrive at the hoped-for birth of a Palestinian state, up to free elections to be held under secure conditions.
The last ones were swept away by a Hamas coup d’état, so exile for its leaders is a first guarantee that this will not be in vain.
This is no time to be disinterested
It will be crucial that the international community and Western peoples also play their part ‘from outside’: this is not the time to demobilise.
It is the time to call with all our might on the UN, the EU and the member states to accompany the process that started with the Sharm el-Sheikh agreements.
We will soon discover how bona fide and how instrumental the mobilisations of the past few days were. Now that there is no longer the ‘Zionist enemy’ to point at, what will become of all the intellectuals and priestesses who have made the headlines?
Will they put the credit they enjoy at least in certain circles at the service of peace?
I am pessimistic, but I was also pessimistic that an agreement would be reached. So I hope I am wrong again.
There will be time for further analysis.
Now let us enjoy this moment, let us welcome the ceasefire and the imminent return of aid and medical personnel to Gaza, let us rejoice together with the people of Gaza and the families of the hostages, who will hopefully return home alive in greater numbers than estimated today.








