Towards a collective military capability: Europe’s message after the Russian incursion

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Luca Cadonici
13/09/2025
Interests

On the night of 9-10 September, Poland shot down an unknown number of Russian drones that had violated its airspace during a massive attack on Ukrainian targets. The operations were conducted by the Polish Air Force, with the support of NATO allies. The drones were unarmed, so it was not a direct attack. However, the incident sparked an intense political and military debate in Europe. Moscow’s choice to deploy inert drones appears to be a symbolic provocation, destined to produce strategic rather than military effects.

A dual objective

Military analysts such as Colonel Orio Giorgio Stirpe emphasised that the action had two main objectives. On the one hand, to test NATO defences on the Alliance’s eastern flank. On the other, to fuel the hybrid war aimed at Western public opinion, perceived as the weak link in support of Kiev. In this reading, the incursion is not an accident but a carefully planned operation aimed at probing allied reactivity.

The Trump factor and the opportunity for Putin

Many analysts link the timing to the American political context. Stirpe points out how former President Trump, oscillating between equidistance and support for allies, has created uncertainty. In recent weeks, positions perceived as harsher towards Moscow have prompted the Kremlin to send a destabilising signal. In this logic, NATO appears less cohesive and more vulnerable, while Russia exploits every opening to relaunch its pressure.

NATO’s reaction

The Alliance’s response was immediate. Dutch F-35 fighters, German Patriot systems and an Italian G-550 CAEW intercepted the drones. NATO forces acted without waiting for decisions from national governments, following already agreed operational procedures. This mechanism guarantees readiness even in the event of a nuclear attack, ensuring that no political hesitation can slow down the defence.


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The European Dimension

Another key element concerns the composition of the response. Polish, Dutch, German and Italian assetswere involved. No direct involvement by the United States, the United Kingdomor France. “This is an important fact,’ Stirpe notes, ‘because it demonstrates autonomy and cohesion in the European component of the Alliance. According to analysts at the Royal United Services Institute, the episode shows that Europe has room for initiative: Polish willingness to intercept drones on its territory could translate into protection extended to western Ukraine. This would better protect Ukrainian civilians and strategic infrastructure, showing Moscow that Europe is not intimidated and is ready to take a stronger role in regional security

One small step, one big signal

The Russian incursion did not cause any damage, but generated a number of political and military messages. Moscow tested allied responsiveness. NATO demonstrated cohesion, while Europe, for the first time, reacted autonomously without American leadership. This element gives the case a symbolic and strategic value, far beyond the technical dimension of the episode.

The most relevant political fact is the automatic European reaction. Poland, Germany, the Netherlands and Italy responded without hesitation, following the NATO chain. The absence of British, French and American assets made it clear that the Alliance’s European component can act in a cohesive and timely manner even without the direct support of traditionally more interventionist partners.

This model could be replicated on a European scale as a collective military capability. There is no need to imagine a common army: NATO already demonstrates the effectiveness of integrating national forces into a shared chain of command. As pointed out by General Vincenzo Camporini, a similar structure at the European level would guarantee rapid strategic autonomy. In this sense, the automatic reaction seen in Poland could represent the seed of a new collective defence architecture.